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US Treasuries
UST 10s closed today at 4.185% . Our 1st weekly support zone is 4.20% – 4.22% (83% shot to hold) and our 2nd weekly support zone is 4.30% – 4.31% (90% shot to hold).
Our 1st monthly support zone is 4.245% – 4.27% (88% shot to hold).
We have a 1st weekly resistance zone of 4.12% – 4.14% (50% shot to hold).
On Deck Tuesday, 1/13/26: $22Bn UST 30y Bond Auction (Reopening)
Bloomberg : Former Fed Chairs, Treasury Secretaries Condemn DOJ Powell Probe
Join Us Thursday, January 15th, for our Next Conference Call Featuring Jim Bianco
U.S. Treasury and Agency Fails
As of 1/09/2026, U.S. Treasury Fails were $24.98 billion and U.S. Agency Fails were $93.03 million .
In the News
ZeroHedge : Wave of Costly Copper Thefts Threatens Public Safety, Experts Say
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InsuranceBusinessMag : Elevated cat losses, AI set the tone for commercial insurance in 2026
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak
1/12/2026 at 12:30pm EST: Fed’s Bostic Moderates Discussion with CEO of Intercontinental
1/12/2026 at 12:45pm EST: Fed’s Barkin Participates in a Fireside Chat
1/12/2026 at 06:00pm EST: Fed’s Williams Delivers Keynote Remarks
1/13/2026 at 06:00am EST: NFIB Small Business Optimism
1/13/2026 at 08:15am EST: ADP Weekly Employment Change
1/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: CPI MoM / YoY
1/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Core CPI MoM / YoY / Core CPI Index SA
1/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY / Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY
1/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: Census Releases Sept – Oct New Home Sales Reports
1/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: New Home Sales / MoM
1/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: Fed’s Musalem Speaks on MNI Webcast
1/13/2026 at 02:00pm EST: Federal Budget Balance
1/13/2026 at 04:00pm EST: Fed’s Barkin in Moderated Conversation
1/14/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: BLS to Release Oct. and Nov. PPI on Jan. 14
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: PPI Final Demand MoM / PPM Ex Food and Energy MoM
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM / PPI Final Demand YoY
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY / PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Advance MoM / Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas / Retail Sales Control Group
1/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Current Account Balance
1/14/2026 at 09:50am EST: Fed’s Paulson Speaks on Economic Outlook
1/14/2026 at 10:00am EST: Fed’s Miran Speaks in Athens
1/14/2026 at 10:00am EST: Existing Home Sales / MoM
1/14/2026 at 10:00am EST: Business Inventories
1/14/2026 at 12:00pm EST: Fed’s Kashkari Speaks in Virtual Town Hall
1/14/2026 at 12:00pm EST: Fed’s Bostic Participates in Moderated Discussion
1/14/2026 at 02:10pm EST: Fed’s Williams Delivers Opening Remarks
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: BLS Releases Limited Oct. Import-Export Series with Nov. Data
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: Import Price Index MoM and YoY / Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: Export Price Index MoM and YoY
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: Empire Manufacturing
1/15/2026 at 08:30am EST: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook
1/15/2026 at 08:35am EST: Fed’s Bostic Delivers Remarks at Metro Atlanta Chamber
1/15/2026 at 09:15am EST: Fed’s Barr in Penal Discussion on Stablecoins
1/15/2026 at 12:40pm EST: Fed’s Tom Barkin Speaks on Virginia Economic Outlook
1/15/2026 at 01:30pm EST: Fed’s Schmid Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy
1/15/2026 at 04:00pm EST: Total Net TIC Flows / Net Long-term TIC Flows
1/16/2026 at 08:30am EST: New York Fed Services Business Activity
1/16/2026 at 09:15am EST: Industrial Production MoM
1/16/2026 at 09:15am EST: Manufacturing (SIC) Production / Capacity Utilization
1/16/2026 at 10:00am EST: NAHB Housing Market Index
1/16/2026 at 11:00am EST: Fed’s Bowman Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy
1/16/2026 at 03:30pm EST: Fed’s Jefferson Gives Keynote Address
1/17/2026 – 1/29/2026: Fed’s External Communications Blackout