US Treasuries
- Friday’s range for UST 10y: 4.04% – 4.13%, closing at 4.05%
- Weekly range for UST 10y: 4.04% – 4.175%
- Friday’s range for UST 30y: 4.625% – 4.72%. closing at 4.635%
- Weekly range for UST 30y: 4.625%- 4.77%
- Fed’s Musalem: says Open to Further Cuts If Labor Market Weakens
TIPS by Maturity (data through 10/01/25)
Week over Week Changes by Maturity
- < 2 years: $19.1 Bn on 9/24/25 to $19.0 Bn on 10/01/25 = ($0.1 Bn)
- 2 – 6 years: $412 Mn on 9/24/25 to ($104 Mn) on 10/01/25 = ($516 Mn)
- 6 – 11 years: $5.4 Bn on 9/24/25 to $4.9 Bn on 10/01/25 = ($0.5 Bn)
- > 11 years: $738 Mn on 9/24/25 to $738 Mn on 10/01/25 = $0 Mn
In the News
Bloomberg: Debt Investors Grow More Worried About Firms Vulnerable to AI
ZeroHedge: U.S. Farmers Are Facing the Worst Economic Downturn in At Least 50 Years
PYMNTS: Subprime Car Buyers Pressured by High Prices and Stagnant Wages
Axios: The Labor Market is Now “Bed Rotting”
Realtor.com: La Niña Has Arrived – and Hurricane Season Could Take a Significant Turn
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak
- 10/13/2025 at 12:10pm EST: Fed’s Paulson Speaks at NABE
- 10/14/2025 at 06:00am EST: NFIB Small Business Optimism
- 10/14/2025 at 08:45am EST: Fed’s Bowman in Moderated Conversation at IIF
- 10/14/2025 at 12:20pm EST: Fed’s Powell Speaks at NABE Event
- 10/14/2025 at 03:25pm EST: Fed’s Waller Speaks Payments Panel at IIF
- 10/14/2025 at 03:30pm EST: Fed’s Collins Speaks to the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce
- 10/15/2025 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
- 10/15/2025 at 08:30am EST: Empire Manufacturing
- 10/15/2025 at 08:30am EST: CPI MoM / Core CPI MoM / CPI YoY / Core CPI YoY / Core CPI Index SA
- 10/15/2025 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY / Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY
- 10/15/2025 at 12:30pm EST: Fed’s Miran at Nomura Research Forum
- 10/15/2025 at 01:00pm EST: Fed’s Waller Speaks on Artificial Intelligence
- 10/15/2025 at 02:00pm EST: Fed Releases Beige Book
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Advance MoM / Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Ex auto and Gas / Retail Sales Control Group
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: PPI Final Demand MoM and YoY / PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM and YoY
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM and YoY
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: New York Fed Services Business Activity
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook
- 10/16/2025 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / 4-Wk Moving Ag / Continuing Claims
- 10/16/2025 at 09:00am EST: Fed’s Waller Speaks at Council on Foreign Relations
- 10/16/2025 at 09:00am EST: Fed’s Barr Speaks on Stablecoins
- 10/16/2025 at 09:00am EST: Fed’s Miran in Moderated Conversation
- 10/16/2025 at 10:00am EST: Fed’s Bowman Speaks at Stress Testing Research Conference
- 10/16/2025 at 10:00am EST: Business Inventories
- 10/16/2025 at 10:00am EST: NAHB Housing Market Index
- 10/16/2025 at 04:15pm EST: Fed’s Governor Stephen Miran in Moderated Discussion
- 10/17/2025 at 08:30am EST: Housing Starts & Building Permits
- 10/17/2025 at 08:30am EST: Housing Starts MoM & Building Permits MoM
- 10/17/2025 at 08:30am EST: Import Price Index MoM & Import Price Index ex Petroleum
- 10/17/2025 at 08:30am EST: Import Price Index YoY
- 10/17/2025 at 08:30am EST: Export Price Index MoM & Export Price Index YoY
- 10/17/2025 at 09:15am EST: Industrial Production MoM & Manufacturing (SIC) Production
- 10/17/2025 at 09:15am EST: Capacity Utilization
- 10/17/2025 at 12:15pm EST: Fed’s Musalem in Fireside Chat at IIF
- 10/17/2025 at 04:00pm EST: Net Long-term TIC Flows & Total Net TIC Flows