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US Treasuries
UST 10s on Monday closed at 4.03% .
1st weekly resist at 4.015% / 4.03% 62% to hold on the week
2nd weekly resist at 3.97% / 3.985% 50% to hold on the week
–> 1st monthly resist at 4.12% / 4.14% this zone has held for last 11 months
–> 2nd monthly resist at 4.03% / 4.055%
1st weekly support at 4.12% / 4.135% 83% to hold on the week
2nd weekly support at 4.175% / 4.19%
Conference Call Friday , February 27, 2026, Featuring Jim Bianco
Click Here to Register
Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco
This morning IGV (the $12B iShares Software ETF) gapped lower than its February 5 “panic” low, which caused the tidal wave of retail “buy the dip” money.
Now down 34% since its October high. Side note, “programmable money,” otherwise known as Bitcoin, peaked at the same time and has been tracking software stocks lower.
And the biggest name in Software, Salesforce (CRM) also gapped lower today and is not down more than 50% from its December 2024 peak.
The cost of software development is collapsing to zero.
That means the $ billion companies like Salesforce (and Bloomberg) have spent, and the millions of developer man-hours spent developing their software products, can be recreated from scratch for a tiny fraction of the cost. This is going to spawn dozens, if not hundreds, of low-priced competitors. Salesforce (and Bloomberg) need their expensive “per seat” pricing models to offset these costs.
In the News
CNBC : IBM is the latest AI casualty. Shares are tanking 11% on Athropic programming language threat
ZeroHedge : PayPal Shares Jump On Report Of Takeover Interest
eia : Retirement delays of U.S. electric generating capacity may continue in 2026
Redfin : It’s a Buyer’s Market: America Has 44% More Home Sellers Than Buyer – a Near Record Gap
X: Nightingale Associates:
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak
2/24/2026 at 08:00am EST: Fed’s Goolsbee Speaks on Economy
2/24/2026 at 08:15am EST: ADP Weekly Employment Change
2/24/2026 at 08:30am EST: Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Activity
2/24/2026 at 09:00am EST: Fed’s Collins Gives Opening Remarks
2/24/2026 at 09:00am EST: Fed’s Bostic in Moderated Discussion
2/24/2026 at 09:00am EST: FHFA House Price Index MoM / House Price Purchase Index QoQ
2/24/2026 at 09:00am EST: House Price Purchase Index MoM
2/24/2026 at 09:00am EST: S&P Cotality CS 20-City MoM SA / YoY NSA / S&P Cotality CS US HPI YoY NSA
2/24/2026 at 09:10am EST: Fed’s Waller Gives Keynote Address
2/24/2026 at 09:35am EST: Fed’s Cook Speaks on AI
2/24/2026 at 10:00am EST: Richmond Fed Manufact. Index / Business Conditions
2/24/2026 at 10:00am EST: Conf. Board Consumer Confidence / Present Situation / Expectations
2/24/2026 at 10:00am EST: Wholesale Inventories MoM / Trade Sales MoM
2/24/2026 at 10:30am EST: Dallas Fed Services Activity
2/24/2026 at 03:15pm EST: Fed’s Barkin & Collins on Panel
2/25/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
2/25/2026 at 10:40am EST: Fed’s Barkin Speaks on Panel
2/25/2026 at 11:00am EST: Fed’s Schmidt Speaks on Monetary Policy and the Economy
2/25/2026 at 01:20pm EST: Fed’s Musalem Speaks on Role of Fed
2/26/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
2/26/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
2/26/2026 at 10:00am EST: Fed’s Bowman Testifies Before Senate Banking on Regulation
2/26/2026 at 11:00am EST: Kansas City Manf. Activity
2/27/2026 at 08:30am EST: PPI Final Demand MoM and YoY/ PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM and YoY
2/27/2026 at 08:30am EST: PPI Ex Food, Energy Trade MoM and YoY, PPI Final Demand MoM and YoY
2/27/2026 at 09:45am EST: MNI Chicago PMI
2/27/2026 at 10:00am EST: Census Releases Nov and Dec. Construction Spending Data
2/27/2026 at 10:00am EST: Construction Spending MoM
2/27/2026 at 11:00am EST: Kanas City Fed Services Activity
3/02/2026 at 09:45am EST: S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
3/02/2026 at 10:00am EST: ISM Manufacturing / Prices Paid / New Orders / Employment
Upcoming Earnings Releases for Tuesday, February 24 , 2026
Noteworthy Before-the-Open Earnings Releases
Noteworthy After-the-Close Earnings Releases