The “Sell America” trade that gripped markets this month has left a potentially lasting dent in investors’ willingness to hold the US government’s longest-maturity debt, a mainstay of its deficit-financing toolkit.
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The question no one is answering … How much of the current (as in the last 10 days) shipping slowdown was natural after a big rush to beat tariffs? How much is the actual slowdown?
(Laden means not an empty container)
I’m old enough to remember late February, when shipping volumes were lower on February 23 than now. I saw and heard no hysteria about this.
Maybe because the stock’s all-time peak was February 19 and now it’s trying to recover from a 20% correction, is the real driver of this story, not what is actually happening in shipping.
FYI – this is a TEU, the number of them on ships heading to the US, from China, in the last 15 days, is the chart above.
A typical container ship can carry up to 20,000 TEUs, they are bigger than an aircraft carrier.
Since the US raised levies on China to 145% in early April, cargo shipments have plummeted, perhaps by as much as 60%, according to one estimate. That drastic reduction in goods from one of the largest US trading partners hasn’t been felt by many Americans yet, but that’s about to change.
A growing number of Americans are using buy now, pay later loans to buy groceries, and more people are paying those bills late, according to new Lending Tree data released Friday.
Home Values Rose and Effective Tax Rates Fell; The Average Single-Family Home Property Tax Bill Rose 3 Percent, to $4,172; Highest Tax Rates Remain in the Northeast and Midwest
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4/29/2025 at 08:30am EST: Wholesale Inventories MoM
4/29/2025 at 08:30am EST: Advance Goods Trade Balance
4/29/2025 at 08:30am EST: Retail Inventories MoM
4/29/2025 at 09:00am EST: FHFA House Price Index MoM
4/29/2025 at 09:00am EST: S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM and YoY / S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: JOLTS Job Openings / JOLTS Job Openings Rate
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: Conference Board Consumer Confidence
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: JOLTS Quits Level
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: Conference Board Present Situation
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: JOLTS Layoffs Level / JOLTS Layoffs Rate
4/29/2025 at 10:00am EST: Dallas Fed Services Activity
4/30/2025 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
4/30/2025 at 08:15am EST: ADP Employment Change
4/30/2025 at 08:30am EST: GDP Annualized QoQ
4/30/2025 at 08:30am EST: Personal Conspumption
4/30/2025 at 08:30am EST: GDP Price Index
4/30/2025 at 08:30am EST: Core PCE Price Index QoQ
4/30/2025 at 08:30am EST: Employment Cost Index
4/30/2025 at 09:45am EST: MNI Chicago PMI
5/01/2025 at 07:30am EST: Challenger Job Cuts YoY
5/01/2025 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg
5/01/2025 at 08:30am EST: Continuing Claims
5/01/2025 at 09:45am EST: S&P Global US Manufacturing
5/01/2025 at 10:00am EST: ISM Manufacturing/ISM Prices Paid/ISM New Orders/ISM Employment
5/01/2025 at 10:00am EST: Construction Spending MoM
5/01/2025: Wards Total Vehicle Sales
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Change in Nonfarm Payrolls/Change in Private Payrolls
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Change in Manufacturing Payrolls
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Mo Avg Change
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Unemployment Rate
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Labor Force Participation Rate
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Underemployment Rate
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Average Hourly Earnings MoM and YoY
5/02/2025 at 08:30am EST: Average Weekly Hours All Employment
5/02/2025 at 10:00am EST: Factory Orders / Factory Orders Ex Trans
5/02/2025 at 10:00am EST: Durable Goods Orders / Durables Ex Transportation
5/05/2025 at 09:45am: S&P Global US Services PMI & S&P Global US Composite PMI
5/05/2025 at 10:00am: ISM Services Index / Prices Paid / New Orders/ Employment