US Treasuries
- Treasury yields climbed across the curve, led by the short end, after the Fed left rates unchanged and the Fed dot plot shifted more Hawkish
FED: NINE OF 18 FOMC PARTICIPANTS PENCIL IN 2026 RATE HIKE
- 10s closed on Wednesday at 4.465 [Wednesday‘s range in 10s: 4.42/4.47]
- 2s closed on Wednesday at 4.18 [Wednesday’s range in 2s: 4.04/4.18]
- 2y – 5y: + 6 bps
- 2y – 10y: + 28 bps
Intraday News Moving Markets
- Bloomberg: Warsh’s Fed Holds Rates With Officials Split Over Hikes This Year
- On Deck Thursday (6/18/26): $24 billion UST 5y TIPS (Reopening) Auction
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Commodities
- Gold declined to $4,271 an ounce [79% of its recent high of $5,417 an ounce on 1/28/26]
- Silver declined to $68.79 an ounce [59% of its recent high of $116.70 an an ounce on 1/28/26]
- Copper declined to 643 [96% of its recent high of 667 on 6/2/26]
Intraday Commentary From Bianco Research
Only 18 dots this meeting vs 19 last SEP meeting. Looks like Warsh didn’t offer a projection.
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Javier Blas on X:
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak




