US Treasuries
Treasuries yields climbed on higher oil prices (after Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal); inflation concerns; weak demand for the UST 3y auction and a heavy corporate new-issue slate
12 borrowers are marketing a combined total of $18.1 billion of US investment-grade bonds led by Verizon Communications’ $4 billion hybrid offering
10s closed on Monday at 4.41 [Monday’s range in 10s: 4.375/4.41 ]
2s closed on Monday at 3.945 [Monday’s range in 2s: 3.905/3.945 ]
2y – 5y: + 12 bps
2y – 10y: + 46 bps
Intraday News Moving Markets
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Commodities
Gold rose to $4,726 an ounce [87% of its recent high of $5,417 an ounce on 1/28/26]
Silver rose to $85.84 an ounce [74% of its recent high of $116.70 an an ounce on 1/28/26]
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Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco
3-day tick chart …
White (right scale), 10-year yield
Blue (left scale), June WTI Crude Oil Futures
What is the difference?
Same chart back to the beginning of the war.
I’ll ask the same thing … what is the difference?
Are bond traders now energy traders? Or are energy traders now bond traders?
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak
5/12/2026 at 03:15am EST: Fed’s Williams Speaks on Monetary Policy
5/12/2026 at 06:00am EST: NFIB Small Business Optimism
5/12/2026 at 08:15am EST: ADP Weekly Employment Change
5/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: CPI MoM and YoY / Core CPI MoM and YoY / CPI Index NSA and Core CPI Index SA
5/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY and Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY
5/12/2026 at 11:00am EST: NY Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
5/12/2026 at 01:00pm EST: Fed’s Goolsbee Speaks at Greater Rockford Chamber of Commerce
5/12/2026 at 02:00pm EST: Federal Budget Balance
5/13/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
5/13/2026 at 07:00am EST: PPI Final Demand MoM and YoY
5/13/2026 at 07:00am EST: PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM and YoY
5/13/2026 at 07:00am EST: PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM and YoY
5/13/2026 at 11:30am EST: Fed’s Collins Speaks on US Economy
5/13/2026 at 01:15pm EST: Fed’s Kashkari in Moderated Discussion
5/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Import Price Index MoM and YoY / Import Price Index ex Petroleum
5/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Export Price Index MoM and YoY
5/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
5/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Advance MoM / Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM
5/14/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas / Retail Sales Control Group
5/14/2026 at 10:00am EST: Business Inventories
5/14/2026 at 10:15am EST: Fed’s Schmid Speaks on Payments Innovation and Community Banking
5/14/2026 at 01:00pm EST: Fed’s Hammack Gives Opening Remarks
5/14/2026 at 05:30pm EST: Fed’s Barr Speaks at Money Marketeers
5/14/2026 at 05:45pm EST: Fed’s Williams in Moderated Discussion
5/15/2026 at 09:15am EST: Industrial Production MoM / Manufacturing (SIC) Production / Capacity Utilization
5/18/2026 at 08:30am EST: New York Fed Services Business Activity
5/18/2026 at 10:00am EST: NAHB Housing Market Index
5/18/2026 at 04:00pm EST: Total Net TIC Flows / Net Long-term TIC Flows
Upcoming Earnings Releases for Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Noteworthy Before-the-Open Earnings Releases
Company
Symbol
Earnings estimate
Aramark
ARMK
$0.47 per share
Arvinas
ARVN
-0.92
AstraZeneca
AZN
2.49
BETA Technologies
BETA
-0.62
Brightstar Lottery
BRSL
0.20
Camtek
CAMT
0.68
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc.
CDNL
0.17
D-Wave Quantum
QBTS
-0.08
Ducommun
DCO
0.68
eToro Group Ltd
ETOR
0.69
First Majestic Silver
AG
0.31
Janus International Group
JBI
0.09
Millicom International Cellular
TIGO
1.36
On
ONON
0.27
Qnity Electronics
Q
0.92
Ralliant Corporation
RAL
0.49
SFL Corporation
SFL
0.01
Tencent Music
TME
1.37
Under Armour
UAA
-0.02
Venture Global
VG
0.13
Vestis
VSTS
0.08
Zebra Tech
ZBRA
4.25
Noteworthy After-the-Close Earnings Releases
Company
Symbol
Earnings estimate
Andersen Group
ANDG
$0.44 per share
Astronics
ATRO
0.56
B&G Foods
BGS
0.05
Franco-Nevada
FNV
2.12
JBS SA
JBS
0.20
Karman Space and Defense
KRMN
0.12
Nextpower
NXT
0.92
Oklo Inc.
OKLO
-0.19
Resideo
REZI
0.60