US Treasuries
- Treasury yields were slightly higher on the day with the long bond closing at 5.135%. Inflation concerns and uncertainty around the Iran conflict continue to spook all markets.
- 10s closed on Monday at 4.60 [Monday’s range in 10s: 4.56/4.63]
- 2s closed on Monday at 4.07 [Monday’s range in 2s: 4.035/4.10]
- 2y – 5y: + 19 bps
- 2y – 10y: + 53 bps
Jim Bianco: One day tick chart of July 2026 Brent Crude Oil Futures. Going straight down.
Notice that all of this is happening in the two hours before the NYSE was going to open lower. To be clear, waving the sanctions means the US ends its blockade, and Iranian tankers can go to Kharg Island and load oil.
Jim Bianco: Timeline the last 24 hours:
Sunday night: “Time is of the Essence” for Iranian deal …S&P futures down
Two hours before open: Close to a deal … S&P futures rally
Morning: Not close to a deal, S&P down
Afternoon: Holding off on tomorrow’s attack to get a deal, S&P recovers.
Intraday News Moving Markets
- Bloomberg: Trump to Swear In Warsh as Fed Chair on Friday, White House Says
- On Deck this week: $16 billion UST 20y Bond Auction (Wed, 5/20) and $19 billion UST 10y TIPS (Reopening) (Thurs, 5/21)
- On Deck this week: FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released on Wednesday, 5/20 at 2:00pm ET
Commodities
- Gold decreased to $4,539 an ounce [84% of its recent high of $5,417 an ounce on 1/28/26]
- Silver decreased to $76.52 an ounce [66% of its recent high of $116.70 an an ounce on 1/28/26]
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
In the News
Successful Farming: What Do China’s New U.S. Farm Purchases Mean for Global Trade?
KellyBlueBook: Average Used Car Price Again Tops $26,000
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak

