Treasuries rallied on signs of an accord to end the US-Iran war that sent oil prices to their lowest level in a month
10s closed on Wednesday at 4.47 [Wednesday’s range in 10s: 4.445/4.485]
2s closed on Wednesday at 4.03 [Wednesday’s range in 2s: 4.01/4.05]
2y – 5y: + 14 bps
2y – 10y: + 44 bps
On Deck tomorrow, Thursday, 5/28:
Economic Releases: Personal Income /Spending; PCE Price Index MoM & YoY; Initial Jobless Claims & Continuing Claims; Durable & Cap Goods; GDP / Personal Consumption & New Home Sales & Building Permits
Auction:$44 Billion UST 7y Note
Commodities
Gold decreased to $4,453 an ounce [84% of its recent high of $5,417 an ounce on 1/28/26]
Silver increased to $74.71 an ounce [65% of its recent high of $116.70 an an ounce on 1/28/26]
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco
Again, markets are reacting positively (lower crude leading to higher bond and stock prices) because market participants think opening the Strait is what Iran really wants. Market participants think what they want is what everyone wants.
2-day tick chart of WTI crude oil, down 7% in the last 24 hours.