Treasuries rallied as oil prices declined after a reported US-Iran deal to extend truce
10s closed on Thursday at 4.455 [Thursday’s range in 10s: 4.43/4.53]
2s closed on Thursday at 4.02 [Thursday’s range in 2s: 3.99/4.075]
2y – 5y: + 13 bps
2y – 10y: + 43 bps
Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco
Barak Ravid on X: The US and Iran have reached an agreement on a memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension and the launch of negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, but President Trump has not yet given it his final approval, two senior US officials and a regional source involved in the mediation told me. “The President conveyed a message to the mediators that he wants a few days to think about it before making a final decision,” a senior US official said.
Jim Bianco: One day trick chart of the 10-year yield. gap down on the tweet above
Red headline on Bloomberg: *US, IRAN REACH DEAL BUT NEED TRUMP’S FINAL APPROVAL: AXIOS
If we have a deal, and Trump desperately wants a deal … then explain this line in the tweet above: “The President conveyed a message to the mediators that he wants a few days to think about it before making a final decision,” a senior US official said.
Why isn’t Trump immediately saying yes? Is the answer that this is a really bad deal for the US?
1-day tick chart of oil reacting to the Axios tweet.