End of Day Summary – 2/09/2026 – Arbor Research & Trading, LLC

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US Treasuries

UST 10s on Monday closed at 4.20%.
Our 1st weekly resistance zone is 4.135% – 4.145% (57% shot to hold), which has held for the past 11 weeks.
Our 1st weekly support zone is 4.28% – 4.29% (67% shot to hold), which has held for the past 3 weeks.
On Deck: Tomorrow, 2/10/26: $58 Billion UST 3 year Note Auction

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In the News

OilPrice: Hedge Funds Increase Bullish Oil Bets Amid Rising Iran Tensions

SupplyChainBrain: How the Economy Will Roil the Insurance Market for Supply Chain Providers in 2026

Newsweek: Map Shows America’s Most ‘Underwater’ Housing Markets

SuccessfulFarming: Trump Signs Proclamation Increasing Argentine Beef Imports

Upcoming US Treasury Supply

Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations

Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak

2/10/2026 at 06:00am EST: NFIB Small Business Optimism
2/10/2026 at 08:15am EST: ADP Weekly Employment Change
2/10/2026 at 08:30am EST: Import Price Index MoM / YoY / ex Petroleum MoM
2/10/2026 at 08:30am EST: Export Price Index YoY / MoM
2/10/2026 at 08:30am EST: Employment Cost Index
2/10/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Sales Advance MoM / Ex Auto MoM / Ex Auto and Gas / Control Group
2/10/2026 at 10:00am EST: Business Inventories
2/10/2026 at 12:00pm EST: Fed’s Hammack Speaks on Banking and Economic Outlook
2/10/2026 at 01:00pm EST: Fed’s Logan Speaks at Asset Management Derivatives Forum
2/11/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Change in Nonfarm Payrolls / Two-Month Payroll Net Revision
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Change in Private Payrolls / Change in Manufact. Payrolls
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Mo Avg Change
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Average Hourly Earnings MoM / YoY
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY / Average Weekly Hours All Employees
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly & Weekly Earnings YoY
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Unemployment Rate / Final Benchmark Payrolls Revision
2/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Labor Force Participation Rate / Underemployment Rate
2/11/2026 at 10:00am EST: Fed’s Schmid speaks on Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook
2/11/2026 at 10:15am EST: Fed’s Bowman in Moderated Conversation
2/11/2026 at 02:00pm EST: Federal Budget Balance
2/11/2026 at 04:00pm EST: Fed’s Hammack Speaks on Leadership at Ohio State University
2/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
2/12/2026 at 10:00am EST: Existing Home Sales / MoM
2/12/2026 at 07:00pm EST: Fed’s Logan Gives Opening Remarks
2/12/2026 at 07:00pm EST: Fed’s Miran Speaks in Moderated Discussion
2/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: CPI MoM / YoY; Core CPI MoM / YoY
2/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY / Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY