End of Day Summary – 3/5/2026

Intraday News  •  March 5, 2026
Edited by Kristen Radosh & Kylie Leverenz

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US Treasuries

  • UST 10s on Thursday closed at 4.13%
  • 1st weekly support at 4.035% / 4.06%                
    • 2nd weekly support at 4.11% / 4.125%   
  • –> 1st monthly support at 4.065% / 4.09%         [this has held for 2 months]           
  • –> 2nd monthly support at 4.14% / 4.16%          90% to hold on the week
  • 1st weekly resist at 3.91% / 3.92%                     90% to hold on the week           
    • 2nd weekly resist at 3.825% / 3.84%         
  • –> 1st monthly resist at 3.83% / 3.855%            90% to hold on the week

Fed’s Barkin: Says Fed Response to Iran War Depends on Length of Shock

Bloomberg: Bond Traders See Increasing Chance of No Fed Cuts This Year

Conference Call Tomorrow, Friday, March 06, 2026, Featuring Jim Bianco 

Click Here to Register

Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco

25 cents Friday (bottom panel)

If gasoline ends the month at $3.25, it will add 0.32% to headline CPI.

10-year now up 20 bps since Friday’s close:

 

In the News 

OilPrice: LNG Shipping Rates Soar 650% to $300,000 Per Day

InsuranceNewsNet: Two-thirds of independent agencies plan to increase AI use this year

Challenger, Gray & Christmas: Challenger Report: February Cuts Plunge, YTD Hiring Falls 56%

You saw it here first.… Out tomorrow in Daily Data Points: 

Today’s Arbor Data Science Podcast, featuring Petr Pinkhasov, centers on the recent short-term rally of the US dollar, driven by geopolitical tensions in Iran and surging oil prices, and how these factors are complicating the outlook for emerging markets and Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Upcoming US Treasury Supply

Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations

Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak 

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