End of Day Summary – 3/6/2026

Intraday News  •  March 6, 2026
Edited by Kristen Radosh & Kylie Leverenz

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US Treasuries

  • UST 10s on Friday closed at 4.14%. The range for the week was 3.92%4.185%.
  • 1st weekly support at 4.23% / 4.25%                
    • 2nd weekly support at 4.38% / 4.395%     50% to hold on the week
  • –> 1st monthly support at 4.065% / 4.09%         [this has held for 2 months]           
  • –> 2nd monthly support at 4.14% / 4.16%          59% to hold on the week
  • 1st weekly resist at 4.04% / 4.07%                     90% to hold on the week           
    • 2nd weekly resist at 3.96% / 3.98%         
  • –> 1st monthly resist at 3.83% / 3.855%            

Today’s Fed Speakers: 


Conference Call Replay

Click Here to Watch the Replay


Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco

10-year up 22 bps since last Friday (bottom panel) BEFORE payrolls.


TIPS by Maturity (data through 2/25/2026)

Week over Week Changes by Maturity

  • < 2 years: $23.4 Bn on 2/18/2026 to $23.9 Bn on 2/25/2026 = $0.5 Bn
  • 2 – 6 years: $3.0 Bn  on 2/18/2026 to $3.2 Bn on 2/25/2026 = $0.2 Bn
  • 6 – 11 years: $1.4 Bn on 2/18/2026 to $1.9 Bn on 2/25/2026= $0.5 Bn
  • > 11 years: $1.4 Bn on 2/18/2026 to $1.5 Bn on 2/25/2026 = $0.1 Bn


US Treasury Trade Fails

As of 3/05/2026, U.S. Treasury Fails were $14.72 billion and U.S. Agency Fails were $11.32 million


In the News 

OilPrice: Why Trump Wants Magnets More Than Gold

SupplyChainBrain: Starbucks to Move Supply Chain Operations Roles to Tennessee

FarmPolicyNews: Senate Dems Seek to Break Up Meatpacking Industry

Arbor Data Science: Where’s the Beef? Part Two


Upcoming US Treasury Supply

Tentative Schedule of Treasury Buyback Operations


Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak