US Treasuries
- UST 10s on Monday closed at 4.09%. The range for the day was 4.09% – 4.21%
- 1st weekly resist at 4.04% / 4.07% 50% to hold on the week
- 2nd weekly resist at 3.96% / 3.98%
- –> 1st monthly resist at 3.83% / 3.855%
- 1st weekly support at 4.23% / 4.25% 90% to hold on the week
- 2nd weekly support at 4.38% / 4.395%
- –> 1st monthly support at 4.065% / 4.09% 70% to hold on the week [this has held for 2 months]
- –> 2nd monthly support at 4.14% / 4.16% 80% to hold on the week
On Deck: Tomorrow, Tuesday, 3/10/26: $58 billion UST 3y Note Auction
Bloomberg: Inflation Expectations Steady, Quits at Record Low in Fed Survey
Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco
The SPX has corrected 5% for the first time since November.
Now it is below $84, and 30% lower than Sunday night’s high
Market is pricing in the end of the war
*S&P 500 EXTENDS GAIN TO 1%, NASDAQ 100 RISES 1.5%
In the News
OilPrice: Record Volumes of Sanctioned Oil Sit on Tankers Offshore China
Financial Content: Agricultural Commodities Rally as Fertilizer Crisis Looms
Business Insider: Layoffs are feeling awfully tempting for a lot of companies right now
ABC News: Electric vehicles sales are plummeting. Will they soon become too niche?
Upcoming US Treasury Supply
Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak
- 3/07/2026 – 03/19/2026: Fed’s External Communications Blackout
- 3/10/2026 at 06:00am EST: NFIB Small Business Optimism
- 3/10/2026 at 10:00am EST: Existing Home Sales / MoM
- 3/11/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
- 3/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: CPI MoM / YoY and Core CPI MoM / YoY and Core Index NSA
- 3/11/2026 at 08:30am EST: Real Avg Hourly Earnings YoY / Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY
- 3/11/2026 at 02:00pm EST: Federal Budget Balance
- 3/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: Trade Balance / Imports MoM / Exports MoM
- 3/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
- 3/12/2026 at 08:30am EST: Housing Starts / Building Permits / Housing Starts MoM / Building Permits MoM
- 3/12/2026 at 12:00pm EST: Household Change in Net Worth
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Personal Income / Personal Spending / Real Personal Spending
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: PCE Price Index MoM and YoY / Core PCE Price Index MoM and YoY
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Durable Goods Orders / Durables Ex Transportation
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air / Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: GDP Annualized QoQ / GDP Price Index
- 3/13/2026 at 08:30am EST: Personal Consumption / Core PCE Price Index QoQ
- 3/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: U. of Mich. Sentiment / Current Conditions / Expectations
- 3/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: U of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation / 4-10 Yr Inflation
- 3/13/2026 at 10:00am EST: JOLTS Job Openings and Openings Rate / JOLTS Quits Level and Quits Rate
- 3/16/2026 at 08:30am EST: Empire Manufacturing
- 3/16/2026 at 09:15am EST: Industrial Production MoM / Manufacturing (SIC) Production / Capacity Utilization
- 3/16/2026 at 10:00am EST: NAHB Housing Market Index
Upcoming Earnings Releases for Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Noteworthy Before-the-Open Earnings Releases
Noteworthy After-the-Close Earnings Releases
