End of Day Summary – 4/27/2026 – Arbor Research & Trading, LLC

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US Treasuries

10s closed on Monday at 4.33
April’s range has been: 4.225/4.38
Range for the last two weeks has been: 4.225/4.36

1st daily support is 4.35/4.36 56% to hold
1st weekly support at 4.36/4.38 69% to hold
2nd weekly support at 4.43/4.45 50% to hold

1st daily resistance is 4.30/4.31 53% to hold
1st weekly resistance at 4.225/4.24 57% to hold
2nd weekly resistance at 4.09/4.11

1st monthly resistance at 4.095/4.125 78% to hold

On Deck: Tuesday, 4/28/26: $44 billion UST 7y Note Auction

On Deck: Wednesday, 4/29/26: FOMC Meeting Rate Decision

Intraday Commentary From Jim Bianco

What is the long-term impact of this war? A good measure might be to look at deferred futures contracts. The orange line is the December 2026 Brent Crude Oil Futures contract.

It made a new high today, holding its uptrend, and up 42+% YTD.

*US OIL HITS INTRADAY HIGH, TRADES ABOVE $97/BBL

In the News

OilPrice: Europe Emerges As Key Buyer of U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Oil

ZeroHedge: Silver Market Tightens as Supply Struggles to Meet Demand

SupplyChainBrain: California’s Jet Fuel Stock at Three-Year Low

CTBNews: Dealers brace for glut of used EVs as lease returns set to double

Newsweek: Map Shows Where Baby Boomers Hold Most Real Estate

Upcoming US Treasury Supply

Upcoming Economic Releases & Fed Speak

4/18/2026 – 4/30/2026: Fed’s External Communications Blackout
4/28/2026 at 08:15am EST: ADP Weekly Employment Change
4/28/2026 at 09:00am EST: FHFA House Price Index MoM
4/28/2026 at 09:00am EST: S&P Cotality CS 20-City MoM and YoY NSA / US HPI YoY NSA
4/28/2026 at 10:00am EST: Richmond Fed Manufact. Index and Business Conditions
4/28/2026 at 10:00am EST: Conf. Board Consumer Confidence / Present Situation / Expectations
4/28/2026 at 10:00am EST: Dallas Fed Services Activity
4/29/2026 at 07:00am EST: MBA Mortgage Applications
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Retail Inventories MoM
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Census Releases February and March Housing Starts Data
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Advance Goods Trade Balance / Imports MoM SA / Exports MoM SA
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Wholesale Inventories MoM
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Housing Starts MoM / Building Permits MoM
4/29/2026 at 08:30am EST: Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air / Ship Nondef Ex Air
4/29/2026 at 02:00pm EST: FOMC Rate Decision / Fed Interest on Reserve Balances Rate
4/29/2026 at 02:00pm EST: Fed Reverse Repo Rate
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: Personal Income / Personal Spending / Real Personal Spending
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: PCE Price Index MoM & YoY / Core PCE Price Index MoM & YoY
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: Initial Jobless Claims / Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg / Continuing Claims
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: Employment Cost Index
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: GDP Annualized QoQ / GDP Price Index
4/30/2026 at 08:30am EST: Personal Consumption / Core PCE Price Index QoQ
4/30/2026 at 09:45am EST: MNI Chicago PMI
4/30/2026 at 10:00am EST: Leading Index
5/01/2026 at 09:45am EST: S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
5/01/2026 at 10:00am EST: ISM Manufacturing / Prices Paid / New Orders / Employment
5/01/2026: Wards Total Vehicle Sales
5/04/2026 at 10:00am EST: Factory Orders / Ex Trans
5/04/2026 at 10:00am EST: Durable Goods Orders / Ex Transportation
5/04/2026 at 10:00am EST: Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air / Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air